Year1
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On the eve of Yellen’s major speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting of global central banks, the United States released data such as durable goods orders and initial jobless claims, which performed well, and two more Federal Reserve officials made hawkish remarks, including Kansas Fed Chairman George, who has voting rights, has added more expectations to the direction of Yellen's speech. However, trading is still very cautious. The U.S. dollar index remains within a narrow range of . It rebounded after hitting a recent low. In terms of crude oil, oil prices closed higher. The smoke of gunfire in the Strait of Hormuz returned, and the relationship between the United States and Iran became increasingly tense. If the situation in the Persian Gulf worsens further, it may interfere with local oil transportation. The Saudi oil minister said that he does not believe that the oil market needs major oil prices. Intervention, there seems to be a subtle change in Saudi Arabia's attitude, which may make the meeting at the end of September variable again. The sincerity of Saudi Arabia in limiting production is questionable, and it is temporarily difficult to confirm whether the story of the crying wolf will happen again. We need to be alert to the risk of oil prices falling sharply from highs due to too much killing. The market focus this week is on Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s blockbuster speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting of global central banks on May. Based on last year’s experience, Yellen is likely to give prospects for raising interest rates in the rest of this year in this speech. Important clues, and the hawk-dove tendency revealed between the lines, I believe will also accelerate the unification of many divergent and contradictory opinions within the Fed. In terms of data, in the United States, the core price index and the University of Michigan consumer confidence index are all expected to improve in the second quarter. In Europe, Germany is forecast to be flat, France to have zero growth and the UK to be revised downwards. In the Asia-Pacific region, Japan maintained its decline and continued to be troubled by deflation risks. From the perspective of the United States' own interests, it will not easily raise interest rates. However, judging from the current global economic environment, the U.S. dollar is still more attractive than most major currencies. When the U.S. dollar regains its strength, gold and silver are expected to face greater challenges. pressure. When trading, beware of unexpected news and strictly abide by your stop loss.
British Finance [Gold] Yellen’s speech guided the direction of the US dollar, and gold prices have been weak and volatile, and changes are imminent. ) The first immediate market strategy, you can make an appropriate amount of longs when it rises and breaks through, and chase after the breakthrough. ) On the contrary, if it falls below, the target breakthrough can be pursued. ) The last strategy is that the current Fed's July interest rate meeting minutes are dovish. The latest non-farm payrolls are strong but inflation is sluggish. The second and third top officials of the Fed have given hawkish statements one after another. The market is waiting for Yellen's heavy speech. Gold and silver fluctuate widely, with ranges. Place an appropriate amount of short orders to chase profits if the US dollar breaks through. Pay attention to the rapid and urgent fluctuations in the market outlook. You must prepare sufficient margin and strictly abide by your stop loss.
[Real gold demand] Internal reports show that gold delivery status remains unchanged, indicating that real gold demand has not picked up.
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