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On the first trading day, London gold closed down by .USD, quoted at .USD/oz.
[Macro]
On Thursday, U.S. monthly durable goods orders rose .% from the initial value, which was better than expected. .%, the largest increase since last month. Meanwhile, monthly core capital durable goods orders, which exclude aircraft and non-defense capital durable goods orders, rose for the second consecutive month and the largest monthly increase, indicating tentative signs of improvement in sluggish business spending. After the data came out, gold briefly fell below the dollar per ounce.
On the other hand, another Federal Reserve official, the president of the Kansas City Fed, made hawkish remarks saying that now is the time to start raising interest rates. This is also the fifth consecutive senior Fed official, led by Dudley, the Fed's No. 3 figure, to mention that the Fed may raise interest rates this year since last week. This has increased the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The market is currently paying attention to today's speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Yellen at the global central bank meeting. The market expects Yellen to send a dovish signal. However, the author believes that the current situation is very similar to that of last month, and beyond What the market expects is the most noteworthy, that is, once Yellen's words become slightly more hawkish, gold may suffer a sharp decline.
In terms of positions, according to the weekly report released by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission last Friday (May 3), as of the week of March 3, the net long speculative position in gold decreased by lots, and the net long speculative position in silver decreased by lots. To hand.
[Technical]
The U.S. dollar index fluctuated during the day on Thursday, which more clearly means that the U.S. dollar index moved within a triangle. From the perspective of the moving average system, the short-term moving averages converge, but the medium and long-term moving averages still diverge downward. Therefore, we believe that the US dollar is consolidating in the short term, and is still in a downward trend in the medium and long term.
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